Date of Award
12-2015
Degree Name
Master of Science
Department
Computer Science
First Advisor
Dr. Elise de Doncker
Second Advisor
Dr. Robert Trenary
Third Advisor
Dr. John Kapenga
Keywords
Machine learning, time-series, activity recognition, Hidden Markov Models, structure diversity
Access Setting
Masters Thesis-Abstract Only
Restricted to Campus until
12-15-2025
Abstract
Time series often feature structure that is known a priori and easily described using natural language terms such as repetitive, symmetric, seasonal, and self-similar. However, the typical conjugate priors used in Bayesian analysis do not capture such complex phenomena well. As a result of this mismatch, known structure is modeled poorly or completely ignored. Focusing on time series with repetitive structure, this thesis proposes to overcome this problem by reducing rather than in- creasing the capacity of a well know time series model, the Hidden Markov Model. Through a careful choice in the way model capacity is reduced the model is forced to use its latent variables in an interpretable way which accurately reflects known structure. In addition to increased modeling performance, the lower capacity model admits reduced complexity inference and parameter estimation procedures. Experimental results are presented demonstrating the effectiveness of this approach in both supervised and unsupervised learning contexts.
Recommended Citation
Lake, Thomas. L., "Analyzing Repetitive Sequences with Structured Dynamic Bayesian Networks" (2015). Masters Theses. 662.
https://scholarworks.wmich.edu/masters_theses/662