Date of Award
Master of Arts
Dr. Lloyd Braithwaite
Dr. Stanley Robin
Dr. Subash Sonnad
Masters Thesis-Open Access
Data on 171 juveniles placed on probation in 1971 was compiled and analyzed. Thirteen independent and six dependent variables were tested bivariately and multivariately. The recidivism rate for the cohort was also determined.
This was the first analysis of the court's probation service. It served to supply the court with three "measures" of recidivism, a "Delinquency Seriousness Index," and an adult follow-up of the cohort.
Results showed an effectiveness rate of 60.25%. In addition, 13 of the 78 hypotheses advanced were accepted and four significant predictor models were constructed. "Early age at onset" of delinquency, a familiar predictor of recidivism, proved to be the most significant predictor for the cohort studied.
An evaluation of the effectiveness of the court's probation services, a set of methods for the continued evaluation of the service and a set of specific conclusions and recommendations for the court were the primary benefits derived from the investigation.
The study answered many questions and unearthed many more. It provided the court with a starting point for the continued evaluation of its probation services.
Kucab, Karl B., "A Cohort Analysis of Juvenile Probationers from the Kalamazoo County Juvenile Court, 1971" (1977). Master's Theses. 2209.